Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 16.554698 18.760109 21.224810 24.197410 27.703823 31.730914 36.738478
2025-10-12 13.966730 16.877427 20.404631 25.045639 31.069352 38.732818 49.399616
2025-10-19 11.885402 14.955215 18.872554 24.330041 31.886403 42.211222 57.805511
2025-10-26 10.934184 14.242258 18.656274 25.123395 34.614693 48.467825 71.083757
2025-11-02 9.846071 13.174209 17.773095 24.787277 35.580558 52.221657 81.254435
2025-11-09 8.937470 12.234282 16.928137 24.340877 36.233204 55.493416 91.210393
2025-11-16 8.225304 11.491444 16.268494 24.055985 37.040806 59.066591 102.382208
2025-11-23 7.527655 10.698837 15.443848 23.392114 37.095488 61.306713 111.499757
2025-11-30 7.041897 10.178574 14.978664 23.239975 37.971725 65.108892 124.555878
2025-12-07 6.432819 9.417614 14.064046 22.228873 37.174530 65.623543 130.755440
2025-12-14 5.847174 8.650970 13.077961 20.993409 35.805433 64.798421 133.756070
2025-12-21 5.467247 8.185468 12.546648 20.499977 35.763998 66.625004 143.396767
2025-12-28 5.651767 8.659286 13.638111 23.079238 42.139914 83.306046 195.791732
2026-01-04 5.508713 8.578737 13.775352 23.910051 45.142139 93.310550 234.774692
2026-01-11 5.145352 8.097034 13.165432 23.232030 44.840144 95.495377 251.755315
2026-01-18 5.023980 8.022297 13.275310 23.981260 47.773808 106.264579 300.324210
2026-01-25 4.764644 7.687178 12.881061 23.663937 48.237464 110.793943 330.018862
2026-02-01 4.513555 7.350487 12.458061 23.242425 48.395660 114.547591 358.762077
2026-02-08 4.301892 7.071578 12.123368 22.973361 48.883559 119.349328 394.097047
2026-02-15 4.063364 6.729760 11.644318 22.346204 48.398869 121.236854 418.557701
2026-02-22 3.898637 6.514464 11.396037 22.202446 49.124418 126.961212 463.229476
2026-03-01 3.654572 6.138584 10.808217 21.246712 47.612855 125.397995 473.311991
2026-03-08 3.402962 5.737245 10.148387 20.078112 45.408819 121.239035 469.127004